Minisymposium lectures

Modeling the use of Fangsang Shelter Hospitals in Wuhan

Jacques Bélair

true  Wednesday, 11:30 ! Ongoingin  Schultz Theatrefor  30min

Motivated by China’s experience of using Fangcang shelter hospitals (FSHs) to successfully combat the epidemic of COVID-19 in its initial stages, we present a two-stage, functional differential delay model considering the average waiting time of patients’ admission to study the impact of hospital beds and centralized quarantine on mitigating and control of the outbreak. We compute the basic reproduction number in terms of the hospital resources, and perform a sensitivity analysis of the average waiting times of patients before admission to the hospitals. We discuss the rôle played by FSHs in mitigating and eventually curbing the epidemic.

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